If you need assistance, please call 818-248-8668

Why a Wave of Foreclosures Is Not on the Way

Thursday, November 4, 2021   /   by Vic Markarian

Why a Wave of Foreclosures Is Not on the Way

Daily Blogs 5 (3).jpg



With forbearance plans coming to an end, many are concerned the housing market will experience a wave of foreclosures similar to what happened after the housing bubble 15 years ago. Here are a few reasons why that won’t happen.

There are fewer homeowners in trouble this time

After the last housing crash, about 9.3 million households lost their homes to a foreclosure, short sale, or because they simply gave it back to the bank.

As stay-at-home orders were issued early last year, the fear was the pandemic would impact the housing industry in a similar way. Many projected up to 30% of all mortgage holders would enter the forbearance program. In reality, only 8.5% actually did, and that number is now down to 2.2%.

As of last Friday, the total number of mortgages still in forbearance stood at  1,221,000. That’s far fewer than the 9.3 million households that lost their homes just over a decade ago.

Most of the mortgages in forbearance have enough equity to sell their homes

Due to rapidly rising home prices over the last two years, of the 1.22 million homeowners currently in forbearance, 93% have at least 10% equity in their homes. This 10% equity is important because it enables homeowners to sell their homes and pay the related expenses instead of facing the hit on their credit that a foreclosure or short sale would create.

The remaining 7% might not have the option to sell, but if the entire 7% of those 1.22 million homes went into foreclosure, that would total about 85,400 mortgages. To give that number context, here are the annual foreclosure numbers for the three years leading up to the pandemic:

  • 2017: 314,220
  • 2018: 279,040
  • 2019: 277,520

The probable number of foreclosures coming out of the forbearance program is nowhere near the number of foreclosures that impacted the housing crash 15 years ago. It’s actually less than one-third of any of the three years prior to the pandemic.

The current market can absorb listings coming to the market

When foreclosures hit the market back in 2008, there was an oversupply of houses for sale. It’s exactly the opposite today. In 2008, there was over a nine-month supply of listings on the market. Today, that number is less than a three-month supply. Here’s a graph showing the difference between the two markets.Why a Wave of Foreclosures Is Not on the Way | MyKCM

Bottom Line

The data indicates why Ivy Zelman, founder of the major housing market analytical firm Zelman and Associates, was on point when she stated:

“The likelihood of us having a foreclosure crisis again is about zero percent.”





Call Vic Markarian at 818-248-8668 today, for your home buying and selling needs.

Website
https://www.vicmarkarian.com?
https://www.markarianrealty.com?
https://www.seeglendalehomes.com?
Subscribe to our YouTube Channel for real estate insights, updates, and news!
http://bit.ly/MarkarianRealtyChannel
Social Media Accounts: 
Twitter
https://twitter.com/VartanMarkari?
Instagram
https://www.instagram.com/vicmarkarian/?

Facebook
https://www.facebook.com/MarkarianRealty? 
LinkedIn
https://www.linkedin.com/company/vic-markarian-realty-group-your-home-sold-guaranteed-or-we-ll-buy-it/about/






Source: Keeping Current Matters 
 
 

  vic markarian realty team, real estate tips, home buyer, home seller, markarian realty team, home buying process, mortgage, home prices, vic markarian realty, markarian realty

Markarian Realty Group
3237 N. Verdugo Rd.
Glendale,, CA 91208
818-248-8668
DRE# CalBRE# 01059771

Based on information from California Regional Multiple Listing Service, Inc. as of February 6, 2025. This information is for your personal, non-commercial use and may not be used for any purpose other than to identify prospective properties you may be interested in purchasing. Display of MLS data is usually deemed reliable but is NOT guaranteed accurate by the MLS. Buyers are responsible for verifying the accuracy of all information and should investigate the data themselves or retain appropriate professionals. Information from sources other than the Listing Agent may have been included in the MLS data. Unless otherwise specified in writing, Broker/Agent has not and will not verify any information obtained from other sources. The Broker/Agent providing the information contained herein may or may not have been the Listing and/or Selling Agent.
This site powered by CINC: www.cincpro.com