The Truth About Where Home Prices Are Heading

Don’t Let the Headlines Fool You: Here’s What’s Really Happening With Home Prices

Lately, the media loves to push fears of a housing market crash. But when you look at the real data, the story is completely different.

Yes, some markets are seeing prices flatten or dip slightly. That’s normal in a cooling market where inventory is growing. But a national crash? Experts say it’s just not in the cards.

Expert Forecasts Say Prices Will Keep Climbing

The most recent Home Price Expectations Survey (HPES)—a poll of over 100 top economists and housing analysts—shows home prices are expected to rise steadily through 2029, just at a slower pace. That’s a healthy sign of market balance.

Check out the projected year-over-year home price growth:

What the Experts Really Think

Within that survey, expert opinions ranged:

And here’s the key takeaway: no group is calling for a crash.

Why a Crash Is Unlikely

Unlike 2008, today’s market is built on stronger fundamentals:

• Lending standards are tight.
• Homeowner equity is near record highs.
• Foreclosures remain low.

Even in areas with more inventory, most homes are retaining value. Meanwhile, areas with tight supply are still appreciating above the national average.

So while price growth may be slower, it’s not reversing in any significant way—and that’s great news for long-term stability.

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Bottom Line

If you’ve been waiting on the sidelines, hoping for a big price drop—it’s time to rethink your strategy. The data shows steady growth is ahead, not a crash.

Want to know how your local area compares? Let’s connect to review hyperlocal trends so you can make the best move for your goals.